Pittsburgh vs Iowa 9/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Pittsburgh winning 48% of simulations, and Iowa 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Pittsburgh commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Iowa wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ray Graham is averaging 136 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Marcus Coker is averaging 113 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA -3.5

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